岸基GNSS用于洪涝水位及大气可降水量监测研究

Research on the monitoring of flood water levels and precipitable water vapor using shore - based GNSS

  • 摘要: 近年来,洪涝灾害频发,给社会带来严重影响,而洪涝灾害期间往往伴随着显著的河流水位变化和大气可降水量(precipitable water vapor,PWV)变化. 本文以2024年发生在巴西阿雷格里港的洪涝灾害为例,选取GNSS站观测数据,分别开展了洪涝水位和PWV监测研究. 结果表明,暴雨前SPH4站水位反演与水文站数据的相关系数为0.993,均方根误差(root mean square error,RMSE)为0.02 m;暴雨期间,河流两岸的SPH4站与IDP1站的水位反演结果相关系数达到0.997,RMSE为0.06 m,降雨峰值与水位峰值存在2~5 d不等的时间差. GNSS站反演的PWV与探空站实测PWV的相关系数为0.992,RMSE仅为1.9 mm,PWV值达到峰值的5 h内出现降雨最大值. 实验证明,岸基GNSS设备能够准确反演出洪涝水位变化和PWV变化,在洪涝灾害的预防和监测方面具有广阔的应用前景.

     

    Abstract: In recent years, flood disasters have occurred frequently and serious impacts have been brought to society. During flood disasters, significant changes in river water levels and precipitable water vapor (PWV) are often accompanied. Taking the flood disaster in Porto Alegre, Brazil in 2024 as an example, data from GNSS stations were selected, and research on flood water level and water vapor monitoring was conducted. The results indicate that, before the rainstorm, the correlation coefficient between the water level inversion at the SPH4 station and the data from the hydrological station is 0.993, and the root mean square error (RMSE) is 0.02 m. During the rainstorm, the correlation coefficient between the water level inversion results of the SPH4 station and the IDP1 station on both sides of the river reaches 0.997, and the RMSE is 0.06 m. There is a time difference of 2 to 5 days between the rainfall peak and the water level peak. The correlation coefficient between the PWV value inverted by the GNSS station and the PWV value measured by the radiosonde station is 0.992, and the RMSE is only 1.9 mm. The maximum rainfall occurs within 5 h when the PWV value reaches its peak. The experiment demonstrates that shore-based GNSS equipment can accurately invert the changes in flood water levels and precipitable water vapor, and broad application prospects are held in the prevention and monitoring of flood disasters.

     

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