顾及海拔影响的GNSS水汽反演及时空变化规律分析

GNSS water vapor inversion and spatiotemporal variation analysis considering altitude influence

  • 摘要: 本文旨在探究研究区域内海拔对GNSS反演大气可降水量(precipitable water vapo,PWV)精度及其时空变化规律的影响. 研究通过对比分析GNSS反演的PWV数据与探空站和第五代再分析资料(ERA5)数据,并结合奇异谱分析与快速傅里叶变换(fast fourier transform,FFT),系统评估了研究区域内不同海拔区域的PWV反演精度,探讨了海拔对PWV时空分布的综合影响. 结果显示:研究区域内GNSS反演的PWV在各海拔区域均表现出较高的可靠性,尤其与探空站数据的吻合度优于ERA5,且在高海拔地区表现出更为稳定的精度. 研究揭示了研究区域内PWV的显著变化趋势,2011—2020年间,PWV呈现出非线性上升趋势,平均增速为0.12 mm/a,特别是在2015—2017年间增长显著加速. PWV具有明显的周年、半周年和1/3年周期变化,振幅分别为8 mm、2.2 mm和0.7 mm. 分析了研究区域内不同海拔区域PWV的规律,高海拔区域的年周期影响更为显著,低海拔区域则以长期趋势为主导,季节性变化在高海拔地区尤为突出. 空间上,东南部低海拔区域的PWV值最高,而西南部高海拔区域则最低,反映出地形地势对PWV分布的显著影响. 研究为高海拔地区的PWV反演模型优化提供了科学依据,并为理解区域气候变化及其机制提供了新的视角.

     

    Abstract: This study aims to investigate the influence of altitude on the accuracy and spatio temporal variation of atmospheric precipitable water vapor (PWV) derived from the GNSS. By comparing GNSS-derived PWV data with radiosonde and ERA5 data, and utilizing singular spectrum analysis and fast Fourier transform, the accuracy of PWV retrieval in regions with varying altitudes was systematically assessed, and the comprehensive effects of altitude on the spatiotemporal distribution of PWV were explored. The results indicate that GNSS-derived PWV exhibits high reliability across different altitude regions, with a better agreement with radiosonde data than ERA5, and shows more stable accuracy in high-altitude areas. The study reveals a significant trend of PWV variation, with a nonlinear increase observed between 2011 and 2020 at an average rate of 0.12 mm/year, particularly accelerating between 2015 and 2017. PWV demonstrates distinct annual, semi-annual, and 4-month periodic variations, with amplitudes of 8 mm, 2.2 mm, and 0.7 mm, respectively. The impact of altitude on the spatiotemporal patterns of PWV was analyzed, showing that annual cycles are more pronounced in high-altitude areas, while long-term trends dominate in low-altitude regions, with seasonal variations being especially prominent in high-altitude regions. Spatially, PWV values are highest in the southeastern low-altitude regions and lowest in the southwestern high-altitude regions, reflecting the significant influence of topography on PWV distribution. This research provides scientific support for optimizing PWV retrieval models in high-altitude areas and offers new perspectives for understanding regional climate change and its mechanisms.

     

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